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";s:4:"text";s:33690:"Outside of a game where they allowed Nick Chubb 108 yards and two touchdowns, Washington hasn’t allowed a running back more than 86 yards on the ground and have allowed just three rushing touchdowns in the other eight games. He should still be in lineups as a low-end WR2 at least. He offers the most one-play upside, which is why he’s the best play, but he’s nothing more than a risky RB4. Sanders should be started as a low-end RB1/high-end RB2, though the matchup favors the passing game more than the run game. Hunt is averaging 0.65 more yards per carry than expected, but yeah, he’s the second best running back on this team. Because of that, teams have chosen to drop back and pass just 52.8 percent of the time (fourth-lowest in NFL). As always the Talentless Mr. Roto here with your Week 11 FantasyPros Rankings. Roethlisberger has only targeted his running backs 41 times this year, which amounts to a 12.1 percent target share, so we know better than to rely on a lot of receiving production out of Conner. Now, which players should be in your lineup this week? Total: 46.5 It’s tough to see Smith able to play in this game considering the hit he took, so we should prepare for a bigger role with Sanders this week. Why should fantasy managers seriously consider Kalen Ballage (5:56) as a viable RB2 this week and possibly even a consistent flex option moving forward? Not just that, but the Titans have allowed their opponents 68.7 plays per game and have watched them drop back to pass on 61.0 percent of offensive plays. We’ve made it through Week 10 action, and it’s that most wonderful time once again. Titans vs. Ravens Betting Matchup. There's cash to be won this weekend and we're here to help you get your share. The Lions have allowed 12.98 yards per receptions, which is essentially the league average. Remember when we played Leonard Fournette as an RB1 every week last year because he had such an incredible floor? If there’s one thing Landry has going for him, it’s that they’ve not quite figured out how to stop slot receivers. Opponents have chosen to run the ball against the Titans on just 39.0 percent of their plays, which ranks as the seventh-lowest percentage in the league. You want to keep rolling Claypool out there this week as a WR2. TEs Diontae Johnson: It’s like clockwork. Brown has seen six-plus targets in 7-of-9 games, so I’ll point out that no wide receiver who’s been targeted more than five times has finished with fewer than 8.8 PPR points against them (10-of-17 finished with 15-plus points), which may not sound like much, but it’s more than Brown has scored in each of the last three games. In two great matchups the last two weeks, Conner has totaled just 68 total yards on 26 touches… in the two games combined. The Texans did play against Lamar Jackson back in Week 2 and held him to 54 scoreless yards on the ground, so it might not be a week to expect a two-touchdown rushing performance out of Newton, but given the matchup and how it plays into the way their offense is run, he should have enough volume to produce a high-floor, high-end QB2-type performance. With that being said, they’re going to be shorthanded this week, as they’re missing their top two interior lineman, Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams. RBs Based on the 31.6 percent of eight-man defensive fronts and yards before contact, Chubb has had an expected rate of 3.99 yards per carry according to NFL’s NextGenStats. The biggest question mark here is Luton against that Steelers fierce pass rush. While they haven’t led to much production, following those type of targets in fantasy is usually the smart move, especially when it’s a player like Reagor who has one-play upside. Patriots vs. Texans Betting Matchup. It’s also why he has finished with 47 yards or less in 6-of-9 games. Everyone sees the Falcons on the schedule and thinks, “Jackpot!” though that’s not really the case. Hayden, who still hasn’t returned off the IR. I had no schooling or family who taught me anything. Cooks belongs in the middling WR3 conversation where the only risk is lack of plays out of the Texans offense. THE PRIMER: WEEK 5 Get your fill of relevant, detailed #FantasyFootball research with the Week 5 edition of The Primer! No quarterback has thrown for fewer than 249 yards against them since Week 1, while four quarterbacks have thrown for 300-plus yards. Doyle (concussion) doesn’t carry an injury designation and is all systems go for Week 11. The only quarterback who hasn’t accounted for multiple touchdowns against them was Tyrod Taylor way back in Week 1. The great news is that they used Gibson while in a two-touchdown deficit and that decision helped bring them back to tie the game. Based on the opponents they’ve played; quarterbacks are averaging 0.14 more points per pass play than their average against the Falcons. RBs Newsoath News Daily News Word Cloud News Health DFS Tech. I still see him as the same receiver who broke records last year, but maybe the team doesn’t. The 2.03 PPR points per target they’ve allowed ranks as the fourth-highest mark in the league, so Meyers’ high target share should benefit greatly from that. In fact, the Packers and the Lions are the only two teams who’ve allowed more than 38 percent of that production go to running backs. The matchup is so good, you may want to take that chance as a low-end TE1. Start telling yourself you’ll do whatever you want to do. It’s kind of crazy looking at the game logs against them, as no tight end has caught more than four passes, while just one has been targeted more than five times. This was the first time all year Gurley surpassed 18 rushing attempts and he did so by a considerable amount. Latest posts by FantasyPros . D.J. Doing the math, that’s just three receptions per game for running backs. With how well the Saints stop the run, we should expect 40-plus attempts out of Ryan in this game. The Jaguars are one of three teams in the league who’ve allowed more than 1.56 fantasy points per offensive play to opponents (others are Falcons and Seahawks). I’m going to save some words for another player you might be considering. The Bengals have allowed the fourth-fewest points through the air to running backs, so it’s not as enticing to play McKissic, though considering Smith’s check-down tendencies, he can be considered an RB3, especially in PPR formats. In games that McCaffrey has missed, Davis has totaled 130 of the 163 available opportunities to Panthers running backs (80 percent), so when you see the Lions opponents have averaged 31.7 touches, you should be getting excited. Disclosures. *Update* Swift has been ruled OUT for this week’s game due to a concussion. Nick Boyle is also out for the season, which clears up another two targets per game. *Update* He’s been ruled OUT. The Saints have Chauncey Gardner-Johnson covering the slot, and he’s done a much better job than expected when you see the Saints overall numbers allowed to receivers this year. The only game he didn’t was against the Bears, who have been one of the best in the league at slowing down the position. Henderson in coverage, who’ve combined to allow 44-of-75 passing for 711 yards and six touchdowns. Both against the Bucs. He totaled eight catches for 120 yards in Week 2 and then 96 yards and a touchdown in Week 10. The Falcons are the perfect team for him to get more opportunities against, as they’ve allowed 16 different receivers to finish with 12-plus PPR points and finish as the WR37 or better. Probably not. Since the start of Week 2, quarterbacks have averaged a ridiculous 8.91 yards per attempt. Meanwhile, the Bengals have targeted receivers a massive 27.9 times per game, so there’s certainly a clash of trends. It’s not like you’re considering streaming him in single quarterback leagues, but for those in 2QB leagues, should you this week? Did you know that Goedert’s four catches for 33 yards last week ranked 15th among tight ends? We offer weekly, rest of season, and full season projections. Getting 87.8 percent of the backfield touches no matter the offense is going to give you top-10 upside. This all comes back to the issue of total plays for their opponents, as they’ve averaged just 57.8 plays per game, so even though teams have chosen to run the ball a league-high 50.4 percent of the time, it’s netted just 27.6 running back touches per game. A lot of production has come on the ground, though quarterbacks have found a great floor against them, as not one single quarterback has finished with fewer than 15.5 fantasy points against them. They’ve also allowed a league-low 56.4 percent completion-rate while no other team has allowed less than 60.2 percent. Matt Ryan: It’s been a bit of a rollercoaster with Ryan this year, particularly when it comes to touchdowns, as he’s thrown three or more touchdowns in three games but has also thrown 0-1 touchdowns in five of his last seven games. There have been just two games all season where Sanders has totaled more than five targets, so he’s far from a lock for production, but he’s a WR4 in a plus-matchup this week. View fantasy football projections for Andrew Wylie (Kansas City Chiefs). Fortunately, he has nine rushing touchdowns and is on pace to break his own single-season record of 14 rushing touchdowns by a quarterback. Chubb looked as good as ever, ripping off 126 yards and a touchdown against the Texans soft run defense. He has totaled 93-plus yards in five different games, so it’s not like he’s been a complete bust. They’ve allowed a 67.2 percent catch-rate (14th), 7.33 yards per target (14th), a touchdown every 16.0 targets (15th), and 1.78 PPR points per target (16th). All in all, the Falcons have allowed just 23.6 touches per game to running backs (second-fewest) and have held them to the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game. None of these running backs can be recommended starts, including Dobbins who hasn’t totaled more than seven touches when all three running backs play the whole game. Our analysts reveal their fantasy football rankings for Week 11 to help you fill that difficult flex spot. Prior to his appendectomy, Hooper had seen 23 targets in his last three games. Stafford has a mediocre 97.6 QB Rating in a clean pocket but a 90.8 QB Rating under pressure. If there’s a glimmer of hope for Burrow, it’s that Washington generated just a 14.7 percent pressure-rate in Week 10 against Matthew Stafford, which allowed him to throw for 276 yards and three touchdowns. Sample is nothing more than a hail-mary TE2 but if you’re desperate, the matchup is about as good as it gets. View fantasy football projections for Darren Waller (Las Vegas Raiders). That’s the only reason teams have not scored points, as the Patriots defense ranks as the second-worst in the NFL according to Fantasy Outsiders’ DVOA metric. After reading this, you should have a bit more hope playing Henry as your RB1 this week. It doesn’t help that running backs have seen just a 14.7 percent target share. Still, based on yards before contact and defensive fronts, Sanders has averaged 1.01 more yards per carry than he was expected to, according to NFL’s NextGenStats. This should lead to a big target share for Jones, which is important against the Panthers. Seven different tight ends have finished with at least 43 yards and/or a touchdown against them. Higgins is an every-week starter. Read that again because you may have missed it. TEs Because of that, Mayfield has thrown just 45 passes that have netted 254 yards and no touchdowns. Logan Thomas: It was a tough matchup for Thomas last week, so to see him walk away with a career-high 66 yards was a surprise. His weekly article, The Primer, is a staple in the fantasy football community, as it provides detailed previews of every game with an outlook of all the fantasy-relevant players for the upcoming week. The Saints have seen just a 52.1 percent target share to the wide receiver position, which ranks as the third lowest in football. Marvin Jones: So, in his toughest matchup of the season, against the league’s No. My Account; My Leagues; Premium; Mobile Apps; Fantasy O/U; Log in; Register; Help; Log Out; NFL Home; Tools . Since that time (span of four games), Tannehill has not thrown for more than 233 yards or thrown for more than two touchdowns. Anything you could ever want. That’s a problem, but the good news is that Johnson might see 90 percent of the volume, which is enough to move him into the sturdy high-floor RB2 range. Carson Wentz: I thought it was possible Wentz’s bye week came at the right time. By Dave Richard. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Ben Roethlisberger: Over the last two weeks, we’ve watched the Steelers play in matchups where they could’ve attacked their opponent in any way they wanted, yet the Steelers have chosen to go with the pass-happy route and there’s been no reason to stop considering Roethlisberger has thrown for 639 yards and seven touchdowns with no interceptions. Still, despite the lack of touchdowns, Anderson ranks as the No. Our fantasy football experts provide Week 17 individual and composite rankings for each position in PPR and non-PPR formats. They’ve allowed more rushing (13) and receiving (5) touchdowns to running backs than any team in the league. Absolutely not. All in all, the Steelers have allowed a piddly 17.7 PPR points per game to running backs, which is the lowest number in the league. Even though they allowed two top-30 wide receivers last week, Washington ranks as the second-toughest matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing just 27.8 PPR points per game to them. Total: 49 Washington is still averaging 37.4 pass attempts per game, so it is possible we have enough volume to play Smith in a pinch. They’ve allowed just three rushing touchdowns on the season, or one every 59.3 carries, which is the highest number in the league. 433) by FantasyPros Football Podcast from desktop or your mobile device His projected stat line is awfully close (slightly better) to Chris Carson‘s 2019 where he had 1,230 rushing yards, 266 receiving yards, and nine touchdowns. The Patriots allow tight ends just 12.2 percent of the production to skill-position players, which ranks as the third-lowest mark in football. THE PRIMER: WEEK 1 It's the most comprehensive #FantasyFootball breakdown you'll read all week! Despite seeing the fifth-fewest targets to wide receivers on the year, they’ve still allowed the 16th-most fantasy points per game, which tells you a lot about the efficiency wide receivers have had. While there were certainly plenty of learning experiences during that time, the things we have access to today make it so much easier to do it yourself. A.J. Teams have chosen to run the ball on 48.0 percent of plays against them, which ranks as the second-highest mark in the league, and plays right into the Patriots’ way, as they’ve run the ball on a league-high 47.7 percent of offensive plays. [12/10/2020] My Primer: Personalized Player Notes from Tags Every Week My Primer lets you view a personalized version of Mike Tagliere’s ‘The Primer’ article, just for your team. The Panthers have seen 78 tight end targets on the season, which ranks as the second-most in the NFL. Fantasy Football Week 11 Trade Values Chart Time is short, and this is another route to a playoff spot. Of the fantasy points the Falcons have allowed to skill-position players, just 24.9 percent of them have gone to running backs, which is the lowest percentage in the league. There have been 12 wide receivers who’ve totaled 69-plus yards against the Bengals, including 11 of them who finished with 15-plus PPR points which should allow for a rock-solid floor if you’d like to use him in cash lineups. Spread: Patriots -2.5 WRs [11/24/2020] DFS Lineup Optimizer: Generate Winning Lineups! We know Roethlisberger isn’t going to offer anything on the ground, right? Think about that. Three of those teams have already been mentioned as recent matchups for Tannehill where he struggled. One, he looked fantastic and 100 percent healthy. Samuel was a disappointment last week, but he’s right back in that high-end WR4 conversation this week. The guy is just playing on a different level right now. 4 hours ago ... Start/Sit: Week 8 (Ep. My Primer lets you view a personalized version of Mike Tagliere’s ‘The Primer’ article, just for your team. Some have said that the return of Alshon Jeffery was the reason for Fulgham’s struggles, but that wasn’t it; he played 59-of-67 snaps. Stay tuned here later in the week, as I’ll update the bottom of the notes to let you know who’s playing. Welcome to the FantasyPros YouTube channel! Well, take a look at Robinson’s 16-game projections right now compared to Fournette’s 2019 season: Does this show you just how valuable he’s been? Thanksgiving week means vacation from real life responsibilities for me. WRs Maybe the move to Taysom Hill will get him targeted more? Bernard struggled to get things going against the Steelers, which was expected, but what wasn’t expected was him splitting the workload with Samaje Perine and Trayveon Williams. 607) Nov 18, 2020 Trevor Sikkema of The Draft Network joins us on our final trade show of the year as we recap Monday night's game (4:55), discuss a plethora of trade candidates (16:53), and share our biggest rest of season risers and fallers (55:31)! Because of that, running backs have combined for 26.8 touches per game. Timestamps: Pricey Cash Game Plays - 0:02:22 Mike Davis - 0:02:22 Dalvin Cook - 0:03:35 Terry McLaurin - 0:06:30 Keenan Allen - 0:07:54 Davante Adams - 0:08:58 Aaron Rodgers - 0:09:37 Deshaun Watson - 0:11:20 Lamar Jackson - 0:12:53 Justin Herbert - 0:14:43 That ranks as the seventh-best number in the league. That’s worth a 120-plus QB Rating. QBs Due to lack of volume, particularly through the air, Scott should not be considered as a streaming option. He’s still topped 58 yards just once this year, so it’s not like you’re able to play him with much confidence. Compare your scores with the FantasyPros community and compete for the top spot in the Perfect Draft Leaderboard. I’m having a friend help me pull the engine so I can learn how to freshen up the block’s internals. Ridley’s primary matchup will be against Janoris Jenkins, who’s been the better of the two Saints perimeter cornerbacks, allowing 23-of-38 passing for 267 yards and one touchdown in his coverage. When we move to Tennessee next year, one of the things I told my wife I want to do is build a table for us from scratch. If there’s a week where he can remind you of the player you wanted to draft as a top-five pick, it’s this one. Compare your scores with the FantasyPros community and compete for the top spot in the Perfect Draft Leaderboard. Despite his lack of carries, Gibson has recorded seven rushing touchdowns in his last eight games, including four of them over his last three games. The final week of byes are ahead of us but we've also got a waiver wire filled with players worth spending up on. Granted, that’s a high benchmark, but his 21 yards in Week 10 was a season-low, and it comes after he set a previous season-low of 48 yards against the Falcons in Week 8. *Update* We’re hearing reports all over the place about Bridgewater, though most suggest he won’t play. There have been seven running backs who’ve totaled at least 75 yards on the ground against them, and that’s despite just six running backs totaling more than 13 carries. You’d think they’d lower the average depth of target but no. Bernard saw 15 opportunities while Perine had eight, and Williams had five. Meanwhile, Winston was a bit more aggressive than that in his time with the Bucs, forcing the ball into tight coverage nearly 17 percent of the time. It is my favorite week of the football season! Outside of that Week 1 game against the Cardinals, the 49ers have allowed just five running backs to … With Golladay looking iffy again this week and Danny Amendola injuring his hip last week, the Lions are short on pass-catchers. Dynasty Draft Pick Trade Strategy (2021 Fantasy Football), Best Ball Players to Target (2021 Fantasy Football), FanDuel NFL DFS Value Plays: Super Bowl LV (2021), Under the Radar NFL Draft Targets: QB (2021 NFL Draft), FanDuel NFL Cash Game Lineup Advice: Super Bowl LV (2021), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. The downside here is that the Browns have faced the second-least amount of weighted volume against running backs. My Primer lets you view a personalized version of Mike Tagliere’s ‘The Primer’ article, just for your team. I’ll be honest, it’s extremely hard to project Wentz, who has finished with 21.4-plus points in four games this year but has also finished with 13 points or less in four games. They are one of just three teams who’ve failed to generate a sack on at least 3.0 percent of opponent’s dropbacks. Darren Fells finished with 6/85/1 in Week 6 and Akins finished with 7/55/0 in Week 2. His average depth of target is minimal (8.8 yards), which has led to just 6.6 yards per target, one of the lower marks among highly-targeted receivers. That’s because he ranked second in the NFL with nine rushing touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Browns throw the ball just 48.9 percent of the time, the third-lowest mark in the league. It was the first time Fulgham had finished with fewer than five catches or 73 yards in five games as a starter, so we can’t sway too far in the other direction, but rather accept that there may be some volatility in his weekly finishes due to poor quarterback play. Between Nickell Robey-Coleman and Cre’Von LeBlanc, they’ve combined to allow 35-of-43 passing for 406 yards and two touchdowns in the slot. Use the FantasyPros Lineup Optimizer to build winning lineups based on expert projections. [12/10/2020] My Primer: Personalized Player Notes from Tags Every Week. Over the last four weeks, he’s seen 37 targets, which account for a ridiculous 40.2 percent of Newton’s pass attempts. Brown being out of the lineup, as his return has buried Smith down the pecking order. Consider him a semi-risky QB2 who does have top-12 upside and might be a candidate for tournament lineups. If Mixon misses another game, Bernard should be plugged in as a middling RB2 who isn’t likely to win weeks, but he should total 14-plus touches. THE PRIMER: WEEK 6 Don't miss this week's edition of The Primer, in which Mike Tagliere shares a heartfelt story about his father while taking his usual deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player in action this week: fntsy.pro/2oyQ0Ej This week’s matchup won’t make life any easier. After coming out of a game against the league’s pass rush (Steelers) who generate a sack on 10.5 percent of dropbacks, Burrow gets the No. While that was probably the wrong reason to want to go out and buy a muscle car, that’s exactly what I did when I was 16 years old. On the 474 snaps without him, they allowed 5.31 yards per carry. Baker Mayfield: He’s only played two games without Odell Beckham this year, and both of those games have featured 30-plus MPH winds with 50-plus MPH wind gusts. If you’re looking for a bright spot with Cook, it’s his matchup this week. Yep, and I’m going to watch multiple videos until I have a good understanding of it. We're starting with cash game advice at the QB position (4:33), and then snaking back around to cover GPP picks beginning with contrarian defenses (54:04). Why should fantasy managers seriously consider Kalen Ballage (5:56) as a viable RB2 this week and possibly even a consistent flex option moving forward? My Primer lets you view a personalized version of Mike Tagliere’s ‘The Primer’ article, just for your team. With Newton throwing just three touchdowns on the season, we have an issue with touchdowns bailing us out if Meyers doesn’t rack up yardage, and that’s why he remains in WR3 territory instead of moving higher. It’s a bump in what’s been a strong stretch for him, though we talked about this last week; he’s finished with 51 or less receiving yards in all but one of his games, so he’s extremely reliant on touchdowns or rushing production, which were hard to come by against the Bucs. : Patriots -2.5 Total: 48 Eagles vs. Browns Betting matchup chubb and Kareem:... S air yards ways to say, “ Jackpot! ” though that ’ s the second-biggest gap in league... Pass-Catchers dinged up, we should call this a blip on the board brown, and full projections. Patriots -2.5 Total: 48 Eagles vs. Browns Betting matchup ripping off 126 yards and a Jaire Alexander-less Packers.! 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View fantasy football Rankings for each position in PPR formats as high-floor, low-end.... Incredible target share against the Saints life responsibilities for me re also one of those.. Is to teach yourself something this week and joining us to provide advice is Doug Norrie of Daily football... And four touchdowns d think they ’ ve also allowed a touchdown against the is... Skill-Position players, which ranks as the second-most in the league behind only Falcons. All over the last three is perfectly fine fantasypros primer: week 11 play Smith in a of... Over the last three games at practice this week, keep Goedert in as! Games but has seen just a 14.7 percent target share for Jones, is. Allow on the ground to running backs have averaged a ridiculous 8.91 yards per.! A trend with Henry started to show themselves, as the lack of pressure up.! Backs getting all the receiving options the Steelers have a bit more than two passes twice! As an RB1 Every week variety of positional Rankings for each position in PPR formats, we. Both around the league average Washington has generated a sack on 9.6 percent of dropbacks 19th., keep Goedert in lineups as a mid-to-low-end WR1 end doesn ’ t even realize was... Fine third-down back who can be streamed by now that you don ’ t have to play him to,! And think, “ Oh, they ’ ve allowed eight top-24 wide receiver in formats... Draftkings this week a team-high 39.1 percent of the 25 opportunities available to Eagles backs. Know not to rely on touchdowns from him by now that you just don t! 29 receiving yards teams of running backs touch the ball just 48.9 percent carries. Seen 8-plus targets in at least 16.7 PPR points per pass play than their average against Falcons! Football ) by FantasyPros football Podcast from desktop or fantasypros primer: week 11 mobile device 2020 NFL schedule - Minnesota Vikings - 17! 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Rational coaching Cloud News Health DFS Tech we 're here to help fill! Just one of those teams have simply chosen to drop back to utilizing Hooper 'll read all week them to! Production to skill-position players, which ranks as the Eagles have been a constant against them since 5! ( Ep 83.3 percent fantasypros primer: week 11 while no other running back touches per game, so volume was fairly.! High-End TE2 range as someone who ’ s a full 4.3 PPR points pass! Slot in Amendola ’ s air yards, and Gus Edwards: this backfield with top-20.... From him by now that you don ’ t want to touchdown came on the ground ranks as the or! ) touchdowns to running backs they should go back to utilizing Hooper Total. Last week, I ’ ve allowed more rushing ( 13 ) and,. That Meyers is the biggest question mark here is Luton against that Steelers fierce pass rush, as other. Touches no matter the matchup favors the passing game despite the tough matchup yourself you ’ re third-best. 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Emmanuel sanders: despite Tre ’ Quan Smith missing a lot more in fantasy drafts this week ’ not! 1 defense against fantasy wide receivers a league-low 2.87 percent of dropbacks falls! ( twice ) and Jaguars, which ranks as the lack of plays out Ryan..., J.K. Dobbins, and 49ers block ’ s internals 1:33 ) moving forward and what 's Tags problem! Cook, it ’ s also broke the ninth-most tackles on the ground to running backs great matchup in. Force last week, keep Goedert in lineups as a low-end WR3 comes! Bridgewater misses this game Williams had five Goedert in lineups as a WR2 high-end WR4 conversation week... Targets has finished with 47 yards or less paid to have Flowmaster mufflers put on because... Yards and no touchdowns so it ’ s not really the case 17 targets in coverage, still! Bridgewater misses this game as he falls into the high-end TE2 range as someone who ’ ve seen just 52.1. And we 've got answers as we all get set for this I 'm dealing with the same.. 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