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</html>";s:4:"text";s:17139:"Increasingly bleak forecasts for the Colorado River have for the first time put into action elements of the 2019 upper basin drought contingency plan. This weekly look ahead is modified from the U.S. Drought Monitor's National Drought Summary from May 20, 2021, written by Adam Hartman (NOAA's Climate Prediction Center) and Denise Gutzmer (National Drought Mitigation Center). Water-year-to-date (Oct 1, 2020 to Apr 12, 2021) averaged less than 75 percent of normal for these same areas. Some weather stations in Colorado, Utah, Arizona and Nevada have recorded their driest years on record, Moser said. Between 1.5 and 4.0 inches are forecast from eastern Texas through southern Alabama and northern Georgia. Colorado activates municipal drought response plan as 2021 water forecast … The dryness and growing drought conditions are now sprouting concerns 2021 could produce a similar weather pattern to 2012. WASHINGTON — A drought crisis unfolding across the West will require short-term relief and massive, long-term federal funding to help states weather the effects of climate change, state water managers and lawmakers said at a U.S. House hearing on Tuesday. References Barnett, T. P., & Pierce, D. W. (2009). As much of the western half of the U.S. is already experiencing drought, Rippey says the flashbacks to 2012 are grounded. FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… The most significant weather for the next 5 days (January 21-26, 2021) will be widespread heavy precipitation across the Southeast. Given the long-term duration of this drought area, persistence is most likely but forecast confidence is low since June-July-August is a relatively wet time of year. Here’s the release from the Upper Colorado River Commission:. FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… Data and Maps. Extreme or exceptional drought is forecast to continue this year for most of the basin. The drought’s flip side is that for the first time in three years, NOAA is projecting zero major spring flooding, with smaller amounts of minor and moderate flooding. Boulder Snow On October 10, 2019 3.8 inches of snow fell in Boulder. Sponsored By. The trough and parent storm system are located to the west near the Four Corners (below left). The forecast calls for more rain in Southern Colorado over the next week. Just last month, the Bureau of Reclamation released its forecast suggesting that the current region-wide drought is likely to drop the level of both lakes to historic lows by June, triggering the implementation of the DCPs as cuts to allocations would arrive in January 2022. The 2021 calendar year runoff forecast for the upper Basin is 21.8 MAF, 84% of average. The first major drought happened in 2002, then 2012-2013, 2018 and now 2020. — BoulderCAST Weather (@BoulderCAST) May 2, 2021. Forecaster: Yun Fan Next Seasonal Outlook issued: June 17, 2021 at 8:30 AM EDT No two states experience the same set of impacts during a drought. The three largest wildfires in Colorado history occurred last year, and all 20 of the state’s largest fires on record have occurred since 2000 — driven, scientists say, by rising temperatures and drought caused by climate change. ... Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, Wyoming and South Dakota, with small islands of … “We’re starting off water year 2021 with widespread much below-average soil moisture conditions and snow water equivalent conditions,” said Cody Moser, a hydrologist with the Utah-based Colorado Basin River Forecast Center. KSJD Local Newscast - May 7, 2021 . A May 2021 forecast from the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation shows Lake Powell dropping over the next year. FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… OMAHA (DTN) -- If drought predictions issued March 18 verify, the record-setting rain and snow event across the western and southern Plains during the March 12 … Accessed March 31, 2021. Colorado will gain jobs in 2021, but it will not be able to make up for the economic losses brought by the global COVID-19 pandemic, according to the latest Colorado Business Economic Outlook (CBEO).. The forecast for water year 2021 unregulated inflow to Lake Powell, issued on April 2, 2021, by the Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, projects that the most probable (median) unregulated inflow volume this year will be 3.64 maf (34% of average). FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… The Upper Colorado River Commission’s announcement comes on the two-year anniversary of the drought contingency plan’s signing ceremony at Hoover Dam in 2019. As exceptional drought conditions expanded to more than 65% of the watershed’s total land area in 2020, operational forecasts for the Colorado River have worsened dramatically. Winter recovering in Southwest Colorado, but intense drought lingers The Journal - Feb. 4, 2021; Record low Lake Powell and bad 2021 drought forecast sets stage for water cuts Colorado Sun - Jan. 25, 2021; Colorado statewide drought situation has Denver Water officials worried CBS Denver - Jan. 21, 2021; Drought conditions set in across Colorado The yearly forecast is compiled by the University of Colorado Boulder’s Leeds Business Research Division.The CBEO is the most comprehensive annual outlook on the Colorado economy, … REMOTE — The March 2021 jobs and labor force data release for Colorado from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) marks a full year from the start of … This resurgence of drought marks the fourth time since 2000 that the state has become dangerously dry. Going into 2021 soils across the state are desperately dry. Denver Colorado Usa 14 Day Weather Forecast. Alaska is forecast to remain drought-free through the end of August. Summer 2021 Outlook: La Niña is dead, but that may not necessarily bode well for Colorado's drought or the fire season ahead This week in Colorado weather: May 17, 2021 BoulderCAST Daily – Tue 05/18/21 | Gloomy with spotty showers throughout the day Winter Is (Finally, Hopefully) Coming to Colorado. Colorado has experienced four severe droughts since 2000, but the trend has intensified with the drought of 2018 barely lifting before 2020 began seeing searing temperatures and dry weather again. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE; May 20, 2021 . Our weather will improve very little on Monday as the best ingredients for precipitation are still very much in-place. “These trends, and the drought, are not anomalies,” Polis said. Luke Runyon, Increasingly bleak forecasts for the Colorado River have for the first time put into action elements of the 2019 upper basin drought contingency plan. Antecedent Considerations Weather Patterns of early Spring 2021 Temperature Anomalies Precipitation and Drought Comparisons Fuel Moisture and Fuel Loading Large Fire History Prediction Considerations Recent Climate Trends Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies and Predictions (El Nino, La Nina) Short Term and Long Term Model Forecast Charts 16.0 MAF, 69% of average. Drought level reports for Colorado as of March 9, 2021, left, and March 16, 2021. Credit: US Drought Monitor. Weather Los Angeles Forecast Radar Lightning Satellite Source: www.timeanddate.com. 26, 2021 9:44 Accessed March 31, 2021. Rafting season ready to launch, but COVID-19 worries running high. High total in our forecast area was 48.5" near Buckhorn Mountain. Nearly half of the continental U.S. is in a drought that's forecast to grow more severe and persistent, NOAA researchers announced on Thursday. The 24-Month Study is released monthly and … The Colorado River Basin appears to be out of miracles this spring. Colorado Drought Update We monitor drought and climate conditions across the state on a weekly basis. Michael Elizabeth Sakas/CPR News The extra sunshine in spring and summer means Colorado's snowpack is melting into streams, rivers and soil. Extreme or exceptional drought covers 76% of Colorado. Not anything memorable, except it started off Boulder's snowiest … Drought in Colorado from 2000–Present The U.S. Drought Monitor started in 2000. FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… Just last month, the Bureau of Reclamation released its forecast suggesting that the current region-wide drought is likely to drop the level of both lakes to historic lows by June, triggering the implementation of the DCPs as cuts to allocations would arrive in January 2022. There’s a lot of data and expertise that goes into predicting Colorado water conditions. As exceptional drought conditions expanded to more than 65% of the watershed’s total land area in 2020, operational forecasts for the Colorado River … Andy Stein • February 4, 2021. These state-specific possible impacts complement the general, national possible impacts column of the U.S. Drought Monitor Classification Scheme. This story by Allison Winter appeared on Colorado Newsline on May 26, 2021.. A drought crisis unfolding across the West will require short-term relief and massive, long-term federal funding to help states weather the effects of climate change, state water managers and lawmakers said at a U.S. House hearing on Tuesday. Meanwhile #coloradoriver runoff currently forecast at 45% despite 80% snowpack.” ... 2021, issue of Big Pivots. While snow drought may be low across the Colorado River headwaters, they have improved along the Colorado … Larimer County is literally an oasis in a state filled with drought. Under the drought agreement, Arizona’s supply was cut by 192,000 acre-feet each year in 2020 and 2021, representing about 11% of the Central Arizona Project’s total supply. ... Accessed 6 May 2021. FILE – This Feb. 17, 2021 file photo shows an empty irrigation canal at a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., with the Sandia Mountains in the background, as much of the West is mired in drought… Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106(18), From October to November 2020, Bureau of Reclamation models projected a possible 1 million acre-foot drop in Lake Powell’s water storage due to lagging snowpack totals and record soil moisture deficits. Supply Conditions - WY 2021 Pima County Local Drought Impact Group. (National Drought Mitigation Center) Denver received the fourth-largest snowfall on record from March 12 to 14, and the Front Range is still largely blanketed in slowly melting drifts. Reports from the U.S. Drought Monitor for Colorado as of March 9, 2021, left, and March 16, 2021. Included in the not-so-good list is the drought that has plagued the West, lasting into 2021. As parts of the western United States transition to a hotter and drier season, drought conditions are expected to worsen. Supply Conditions - WY 2021 Pima County Local Drought Impact Group. Most Of Utah In Level 3 Drought; Colorado Basin Forecasts Deteriorating Rapidly For 2021 And Later Red isn’t a good sign when you’re looking at a drought map, and most of Utah is now in the red. (NOAA/CPC graphic) ... said Colorado … In the gloomiest long-term forecast yet for the drought-stricken Colorado River, a new study warns that lower river basin states including Arizona may … For a free subscription, ... Udall and Jonathan Overpeck chose to call it a “hot drought.” Others in the Colorado River Basin have similarly been parsing their vocabulary. By Lucas Brady Woods ... And one of Colorado’s mobile vaccination clinics was in Boyle Park in Mancos on Friday. For a large area in western Colorado, April 2021 was the driest April on record. Unfortunately, we’ll put 2021 down as … Parts of Texas and Colorado have seen some drought relief. The yearly forecast is compiled by the University of Colorado Boulder’s Leeds Business Research Division.The CBEO is the most comprehensive annual outlook on the Colorado economy, … The year has finally come to a close, and I think we can all agree that we don't feel bad shutting the door on 2020. Accessed March 31, 2021. From October to November 2020, Bureau of Reclamation models projected a possible 1 million acre-foot drop in Lake Powell’s water storage due to lagging snowpack totals and record soil moisture deficits. The severe long-term drought across the Midwest remains centered across northwest Iowa, based on 6 to 12-month SPI values. With that said, the latest US Drought Monitor, issued Thursday May 20th 2021, indicates marked improvement in drought conditions across southeast Colorado, especially across southwestern portions of Pueblo County and east central Huerfano County, where the US Drought Monitor has eliminated any designation of drought. About 91% of the state has at least severe drought and 28% of Colorado has exceptional drought which is the worse drought category. The Washington Post (2021, March 23) Spring outlooks highlight severe weather threat in South and worsening drought in West. Extreme drought now encompasses almost 10% of the country. “If not, as much as 78% of the spring wheat area could be in drought.” The forecast comes on the same day the United Nations published a report finding the increasing frequency of natural disasters like flooding, droughts and fires caused by climate change is stressing agricultural systems across the globe. U.S. Drought Monitor The March 11, 2021 drought report. Current drought conditions 3/18/2021 The extreme drought (red) improved by almost 20% and the severe drought (brown) nearly by 17%. Northeast Colorado dropped the drought levels and even erased them in some places. Colorado Healthcare Bill passes the House but the debate remains ... 2020 Drought: One of the worst in Colorado history ... May 23, 2021 Forecast First May 22, 2021 Forecast … The Lake Powell inflow forecast, at 3.2 million acre-feet, is just 45% of normal and a 2% decrease from the CBRFC March forecast. View the whole report here. While some parts of southeast Colorado are starting to … Drought saps agricultural economy in Southwest Colorado By Jim Mimiaga, Journal Staff Writer Wednesday, May. As exceptional drought conditions expanded to more than 65% of the watershed’s total land area in 2020, operational forecasts for the Colorado River have worsened dramatically. Latest U.S. Drought Monitor Shows Some Improvement in Many Areas of The Country, Except For The Southwest Thu, 13 May 2021 15:18:06 CDT; Kansas Wheat Alliance President Daryl Strouts Says Kansas Crop is in Good Shape Thu, 13 May 2021 15:10:23 CDT; Thursday, May 13, 2021 Market Wrap-Up with Justin Lewis Thu, 13 May 2021 13:56:23 CDT The weekly drought monitor released Thursday morning showed about 75% of Colorado still experiencing at least moderate drought and near 30% … The long-range forecast indicates above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation through June, which will result in a continuation of drought conditions across the state, and the emergence of above-average fire potential over portions of southeast Colorado, Morgan said. (National Drought Mitigation Center) Denver received the fourth-largest snowfall on record from March 12 to 14, and the Front Range is still largely blanketed in slowly melting drifts. The most intense period of drought occurred the week of July 16, 2002, where D4 affected 34.37% of Colorado land. Thanks to frequent and moisture rich rain and snow events our … Wildfires are not out of the ordinary in Colorado. Under the current most probable forecast, the total water year 2021 unregulated inflow to Lake Powell is projected to be 3.64 maf (34 percent of average). Combined, Lakes Powell and Mead are forecast later this year to hit their lowest levels since the two reservoirs filled decades ago. Ten tornadoes hit Colorado’s eastern plains Saturday and more severe weather is … The lack of water worsens drought conditions, fire potential and could impact agriculture An empty irrigation canal lines a tree farm in Corrales, N.M., in February, as snow covers the Sandia Mountains in the background. ... Daily Forecast; ... which exasperated this drought heading into the winter of 2020-2021. 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